Tuesday 26 June 2018

Aus v Peru; Fra v Den

The equation: Both France and Australia must win. That is definite.

To be safe, either France or Australia must win by two goals.

If not safe (eg win only by 1 goal in each match) Australia must have more goals scored or less yellow/red cards or disciplinary offences than Denmark.

In a crazy scenario we may need to draw lots.

I don't like our chances because Denmark and France are likely to collude for the draw. (Maybe not)

Furthermore France have drawn 0-0 in all their final group games at 2014 WC and 2016 Euro when they were already through and rested several players. They will do the same here and rest 6 players I think...

Maybe a 10% chance.

Why am I thinking of Saudi Arabia v Japan?

Andre Lim

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